Political Advertising 2018 Campaign Ad Spend Will be in the Billions Most money raised in politics is spent on advertising, and believe it or not, even in this digital age, most of those advertising dollars still go to the long-time king of political advertising:… Passwaiter Steve Passwaiter September 22, 2017
National Politics Trump Won't Lose His Base on DACA A common parlor game here in Washington – one that has been played since 2016 – is “when will the GOP base break from Trump?” It didn’t happen with the Access Hollywood tape. Or the travel ban. Or… Amy Walter Amy Walter September 20, 2017
National Politics Trump Drives a Wedge Between GOP Senate Candidates and His Base The challenge for Democrats trying to take back the Senate is formidable. Ten Democratic incumbents are up in states carried by Donald Trump last year, five in states that Trump won by 19 points or… Charlie Photo Charles E. Cook, Jr. September 19, 2017
National Politics The Urgent Need to Repair Our Broken Politics An article in Washington Monthly caught my eye the other day. It compared the United States today to Germany between the two World Wars. As a rule, I’m wary of historical analogies. It seems that the… Charlie Photo Charles E. Cook, Jr. September 15, 2017
FiveThirtyEight 2018 Could Be The Year Of The Angry White College Graduate Even with the political winds at their back, Democrats enter the 2018 congressional midterms at a historic geographic disadvantage. They also face demographic hurdles: Midterm electorates tend to be… Wasserman Photo David Wasserman September 8, 2017
National Politics Lessons From an Ineffective President If you wanted to offer a graduate-school class in how not to be an effective president of the United States, Donald Trump could write the textbook and teach the course. The first lesson would be to… Charlie Photo Charles E. Cook, Jr. September 8, 2017
McConnellTrump National Politics Can This Marriage Be Saved? Amy Walter Amy Walter August 30, 2017
National Politics Will the 2018 Midterms Follow Historic Patterns? In political handicapping you often have to reconcile a conflict between macro and micro dynamics. The macro, or big-picture factors, focus on the sitting president, with his popularity highly… Charlie Photo Charles E. Cook, Jr. August 18, 2017
National Politics What Defines Trump If it’s not already obvious by now, President Trump’s tangled, mangled and bungled response to Charlottesville reminds us that his is a presidency run on gut and instinct and fealty to his base.… Amy Walter Amy Walter August 17, 2017
National Politics Can Kelly Rein in the Unruly President? One of the more interesting political questions these days is whether Gen. John Kelly can bring some semblance of order to the Trump White House. IF anyone can transform the most disorganized and… Charlie Photo Charles E. Cook, Jr. August 11, 2017
National Politics Trump Triangulates Historically, a sitting president with a 39 percent approval rating would represent existential danger to his party’s prospects in the midterm elections. When the president falters, so does his party… Amy Walter Amy Walter August 9, 2017
FiveThirtyEight The Congressional Map Has A Record-Setting Bias Against Democrats When Democrats think about their party’s problems on the political map, they tend to think of President Trump’s ability to win the White House despite losing the popular vote and Republicans’ potent… Wasserman Photo David Wasserman August 9, 2017