This story was originally published on nationaljournal.com on November 4, 2016 When Gerald Ford was sworn into office after President Nixon’s resignation, he said, “My fellow Americans, our long national nightmare is over.” My guess is that a lot of people are looking forward to Election Day with the same feeling. Hillary Clinton remains a solid favorite to win the presidency. The only question is whether she will win 272 electoral votes, just two over the minimum needed, or closer to 300 or 310. The difference would likely turn on Florida and North Carolina. If she loses both, she’ll just skate by. If she wins both, her total would clear the 300 mark. Not that national polling matters much right now, other than as an easy means to keep score, but pollsters in both parties think her lead over Donald Trump is between 2 and 5 points. The former cuts things a bit close; the latter would provide a very solid win given the clear divisions in the country today. Democrats are still likely to come out on top in
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