This story was originally published on nationaljournal.com on March 3, 2016 The con­ven­tion­al wis­dom seems to be mov­ing to the as­sump­tion that Don­ald Trump is the in­ev­it­able Re­pub­lic­an pres­id­en­tial nom­in­ee; I’m still not quite there yet. Through the March 1 Su­per Tues­day primar­ies and caucuses, with 30 per­cent of the total num­ber of del­eg­ates chosen, Trump had amassed 336 pledged del­eg­ates, 46 per­cent of all of those chosen so far. He had won 34 per­cent of the vote in the primar­ies and caucuses so far. Ted Cruz was run­ning second with 234 del­eg­ates, or 32 per­cent of the del­eg­ates se­lec­ted, com­ing from 28 per­cent of the bal­lots cast. In third place was Marco Ru­bio with 113 del­eg­ates, 16 per­cent of those chosen, and 22 per­cent of the vote. Last of the act­ive can­did­ates was John Kasich with 27 del­eg­ates, 4 per­cent of those chosen, and 4 per­cent of the vote. An al­tern­at­ive meth­od of keep­ing score is one de­veloped by The Cook Polit­ic­al Re­port‘s Dav­id Wasser­man. It’s based on the demo­graph­ics, ideo­lo­gic­al pro­cliv­it­ies, geo­graph­ic ad­vant­ages, and del­eg­ate-se­lec­tion meth­ods in each

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