Jump to Any Race
North Carolina Governor|October 28, 2008

Democrats have held the governorship in North Carolina for the past 16 years. In fact, according to the Associated Press, they have occupied the Governor’s Mansion for all but 12 of the last 100 years…

Governor Overview|By Jennifer Duffy, October 28, 2008

The fate of the 11 gubernatorial contests on next week’s ballot is largely decided. Barring unforeseen events, this is our last look at these races before Tuesday. The Republicans Of the five seats on the ballot currently held by Republicans, Govs. John Hoeven in North Dakota and Jon Huntsman in Utah are shoo-ins for re-election. In Vermont, Gov. Jim Douglas is expected to win easily, defeat…

House Overview|By David Wasserman, October 28, 2008

At a time when Democrats enjoy a wide lead in money and overwhelming atmospheric advantages, Republican tactical miscalculations weigh much more heavily than those made by Democrats. With one week left until the general election, GOP problems continue to stack up. House Editor David Wasserman releases ratings changes in ten districts. Our current outlook is now a Democratic gain of between 24 a…

National Politics|By Charlie Cook, October 25, 2008

For a political analyst, the normal posture this time of year is much like a baseball umpire's: hunched over, peering carefully as the ball approaches the plate, watching for whether it breaks left or…

Senate Overview|By Jennifer Duffy, October 23, 2008

As Republican incumbents and challengers alike are struggling against a strong head wind, one GOP incumbent who has been on Democrats’ target list and one open-seat candidate seem to be defying the odds and are well-positioned to win on November 4. In Maine, Democrats targeted Republican Sen. Susan Collins at the beginning of the cycle, calling her the “Lincoln Chafee of 2008,” a Republican sitti…

House Overview|By David Wasserman, October 23, 2008

House Editor David Wasserman releases ratings changes in an additional 12 districts. The GOP internal “death list” memo, leaked to U.S. News and World Report’s Paul Bedard, exposes just how white-knuckled some in the Republican conference are. At this point, the choice Republican strategists face is not whether to play offense or defense, but rather where it’s still worth playing defense. All the…

National Politics|By Charlie Cook, October 21, 2008

One of the most unsettling aspects of this campaign is that for an election cycle so turbulent, with so many surprising twists and turns, over the last few days it suddenly has had the feel of concrete setting. Just seven or eight weeks ago, Sen. Barack Obama had a lead over Sen. John McCain, but it hardly seemed sure; we wondered, is this lead real, is it durable? But today it seems very unlikel…

Senate Overview|By Jennifer Duffy, October 21, 2008

There haven’t been any major changes in the most competitive Senate races over the last seven days, but as the election draws closer, Republicans’ ability to hang on to some of their most endangered incumbents is diminishing. At this stage of the election cycle, race ratings get reviewed daily. As a general rule, races that are in single digits are in the Toss Up column. If, as is the case with…

National Politics|By Charlie Cook, October 18, 2008

If this election really is a choice between one nominee who should have become president eight years ago and another who should become president eight years from now, more voters certainly seem to be…

  • In 2014, a good political environment, a weakened Democratic President and several open Democratic-held seats in red states combined to give Senate Republicans a nine-seat gain and the majority. In 2016, the tables are turned. Republicans will defend 24 seats to just 10 for Democrats. Of those 24 seats, President Obama carried the states of five of them in 2012 by at least five points, and carried two more by one and three points. Neither party has been helped by open seats, particularly compared to the last three cycles. Democrats need five seats – or four if they retain the White House – to take back the majority. Wth two weeks before Election Day, Democrats appear to be on track to pick up between four and six seats.

  • The 2016 election resulted in a House breakdown of 240 Republicans and 194 Democrats, with one Louisiana seat headed to a December 10 runoff that is very likely to be won by a Republican. Democrats scored a net gain of six seats, a disappointing result for a party that had hoped to pick up more than 15 and cut the GOP's majority in half. Democrats' best hope for a majority in 2018 would be an unpopular President Donald Trump. But given Republicans' redistricting advantages and how well sorted-out the House has become, it could still be very difficult for Democrats to pick up the 24 seats they would need.

  • The 2016 cycle will host 12 gubernatorial contests, including the special election in Oregon. Democrats are defending eight seats to four for Republicans. The marquis contests will be the Democratic-held open seats in Missouri, New Hampshire and West Virginia, and in North Carolina where GOP Gov. Pat McCrory is seeking a second term. With so few seats on the ballot, neither party is likely to make significant gains or sustain big losses.

Wisconsin  |  District 08  |  Ribble (R)

Lean R
Likely R

New York  |  District 24  |  Katko (R)

Lean R
Likely R

New York  |  District 22  |  Hanna (R)

Toss Up
Lean R

New York  |  District 03  |  Israel (D)

Likely D
Lean D

New York  |  District 01  |  Zeldin (R)

Lean R
Likely R

The Cook Political Report is...

  • A newsletter that both parties regard as authoritative.
    – The New York Times
  • The bible of the political community.
    – Bob Schieffer, host of CBS News "Face the Nation"
  • Perhaps the best nonpartisan tracker of Congressional races.
    – David Broder, The Washington Post

Charlie Cook's Column

Trump’s Policies Are a Result of On-the-Job Training

April 20, 2017

The me­dia and crit­ics on the Left are hav­ing a field day at­tack­ing Pres­id­ent Trump’s rather nu­mer­ous and of­ten dra­mat­ic changes of heart on policy—wheth­er China ma­nip­u­lates its cur­rency, the ne­ces­sity of the U.S. Ex­port-Im­port Bank and NATO, and the U.S.’s stra­tegic pos­ture in Syr­ia.

Read more »
More Columns »
Sign up for Charlie’s columns as they are released on NationalJournal.com »


Amy Walter, National Editor

Amy Walter is the Cook Political Report's National Editor. In her weekly column, Walter provides analysis of the issues, trends, and events that shape the national political environment.
View Columns »

Elizabeth Wilner, Senior Contributing Editor

Elizabeth Wilner is Senior Vice President of Kantar Media Ad Intelligence with oversight of its Campaign Media Analysis Group (CMAG), Contributing Editor of The Cook Political Report, and former Political Director of NBC News. Wilner's weekly segment, "On Points," covers the fast-growing junction of advertising, Big Data, and politics.
View Columns »

The Cook Political Report Partisan Voting Index (PVI)

The 2014 Partisan Voting Index

Since 1997, the Cook Political Report's Partisan Voting Index (PVI) has been the gold standard in measuring how each state and district performs at the presidential level relative to the nation as a whole. Click below for the breakdown of PVI for every House district in the 113th Congress.
See Chart »
Read More »

The Rhodes Cook Letter

In the latest issue of the Rhodes Cook Letter, Rhodes takes a close look at the 2016 election.

Download »