Donald Trump's dominance in Arizona on Tuesday moved him 58 delegates closer to capturing the 1,237 he needs to win the GOP nomination without a contested convention. But Ted Cruz's sweep of Utah's 40 delegates keeps the "Never Trump" movement's hopes alive in a race that is assured to last all the way through June 7. If Cruz wants to thwart Trump, Wisconsin is probably a must-win state on...
Not all rating changes are created equal. Some changes happen when a first-tier candidate gets into a race and instantly makes it more competitive. Others occur because an incumbent retires, rendering the open seat more vulnerable.
The ESPN series 30 for 30 is best known for its consistently excellent documentaries on sports. The original idea was to mark the network’s 30th anniversary in 2009 by commissioning 30 documentaries on slightly offbeat topics from independent film makers not necessarily known for their sports-related work.
After sweeping all five contests in Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina and Ohio on Tuesday, Hillary Clinton has built an even more insurmountable lead over Bernie Sanders for the Democratic nomination. Clinton now hows a pledged delegate lead of 1,139 to 825, meaning Sanders would need to win 58 percent of the remaining pledged delegates at stake to draw even with Clinton by June....
Tuesday didn't tell us whether Donald Trump will win 1,237 delegates by June. But the results virtually guarantee that the GOP primaries will rage all the way until the very last contests in California, New Jersey, New Mexico, Montana, and South Dakota on June 7 - and possibly to a contested convention in July. For the first time in a long time, every state will matter.
They're about to detonate a nuclear bomb on themselves," said one savvy House Democratic strategist following Tuesday's primaries. "If Ted Cruz is your back up plan, you're screwed," the strategist gleefully added. Maybe that's true, and maybe it's not. But now that it's extremely likely that the Republican Party will nominate Donald Trump or Ted Cruz, congressional Republicans are entering...
Georgia: In 2014, Democrats believed that Georgia was one red state that they could turn blue. They had a very strong nominee in former Points of Light Foundation CEO Michelle Nunn and Republicans hosted a crowded primary and contentious run-off before nominating businessman David Perdue. Nunn couldn’t survive the midterm tide and Perdue won the race with 53 percent. While Democrats perform...
In 2014, a good political environment, a weakened Democratic President and several open Democratic-held seats in red states combined to give Senate Republicans a nine-seat gain and the majority. In 2016, the tables are turned. Republicans will defend 24 seats to just 10 for Democrats. Of those 24 seats, President Obama carried the states of five of them in 2012 by at least five points, and carried two more by one and three points. Neither party has been helped by open seats, particularly compared to the last three cycles. Democrats need five seats – or four if they retain the White House – to take back the majority. Wth two weeks before Election Day, Democrats appear to be on track to pick up between four and six seats.
The 2016 election resulted in a House breakdown of 240 Republicans and 194 Democrats, with one Louisiana seat headed to a December 10 runoff that is very likely to be won by a Republican. Democrats scored a net gain of six seats, a disappointing result for a party that had hoped to pick up more than 15 and cut the GOP's majority in half. Democrats' best hope for a majority in 2018 would be an unpopular President Donald Trump. But given Republicans' redistricting advantages and how well sorted-out the House has become, it could still be very difficult for Democrats to pick up the 24 seats they would need.
The 2016 cycle will host 12 gubernatorial contests, including the special election in Oregon. Democrats are defending eight seats to four for Republicans. The marquis contests will be the Democratic-held open seats in Missouri, New Hampshire and West Virginia, and in North Carolina where GOP Gov. Pat McCrory is seeking a second term. With so few seats on the ballot, neither party is likely to make significant gains or sustain big losses.
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Charlie Cook's Column
How Fake News Undermines DemocracyJanuary 17, 2017
Almost 130 years ago, German philosopher Friedrich Nietzsche wrote, “That which does not kill us, makes us stronger.” In a perverse way, BuzzFeed and CNN made President-elect Trump stronger this week.Read more »
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