North Dakota: Republican Gov. Jack Dalrymple spent a decade as Lieutenant Governor before ascending to the Governor’s office in December of 2010 when then-Gov. John Hoeven resigned after being elected to the Senate. Dalrymple won a full term in his own right in 2012 with 63 percent of the vote. The only Democrat in the state who poses a real threat to the incumbent in 2016 is Democratic Sen....
In recent weeks, many have started treating Sen. Bernie Sanders' campaign for the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination seriously, but without addressing or even acknowledging the elephant in the room—Sanders' age.
With his attempts to woo Democrats unsuccessful, President Obama turned to Republicans this week to help rescue his Asia trade hopes. Obama has succeeded in the first step, with the House voting to support Trade Promotion Authority for the President by a vote of 218 to 208. Just 28 Democrats supported the president.
The Republican practice for determining a presidential nominee has long been to have a fight, then nominate whoever's turn it is to be the party's standard-bearer. It has been a relatively orderly, hierarchical process. And if Republicans behave accordingly next year, they will slug it out before nominating former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, whose turn it would seem to be.
Last Friday, a three-judge federal panel reaffirmed an October ruling striking down Virginia's congressional map on the grounds that the African-American 3rd District amounts to an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. The news is a potentially significant victory for Democrats, who are at an historic low-point in the House in part because GOP legislatures in the South have packed
Delaware: This race is in something of a holding pattern in the wake of former Democratic state Attorney General Beau Biden’s death in late May. Biden was an overwhelming frontrunner both for the Democratic nomination and in the general election to succeed term-limited Democratic Gov. Jack Markell. Other Democrats interested in the race are staying on the sidelines for now as Biden’s family...
What makes Scott Walker such a formidable candidate in the primary is also what makes him vulnerable in a general election. As Walker flexes his conservative muscles on everything from immigration to gay marriage to abortion, he also risks being easily portrayed as 'out of touch' to the moderate voters needed to win this fall.
In 2014, a good political environment, a weakened Democratic President and several open Democratic-held seats in red states combined to give Senate Republicans a nine-seat gain and the majority. In 2016, the tables are turned. Republicans will defend 24 seats to just 10 for Democrats. Of those 24 seats, President Obama carried the states of five of them in 2012 by at least five points, and carried two more by one and three points. Neither party has been helped by open seats, particularly compared to the last three cycles. Democrats need five seats – or four if they retain the White House – to take back the majority. Wth two weeks before Election Day, Democrats appear to be on track to pick up between four and six seats.
The 2016 election resulted in a House breakdown of 240 Republicans and 194 Democrats, with one Louisiana seat headed to a December 10 runoff that is very likely to be won by a Republican. Democrats scored a net gain of six seats, a disappointing result for a party that had hoped to pick up more than 15 and cut the GOP's majority in half. Democrats' best hope for a majority in 2018 would be an unpopular President Donald Trump. But given Republicans' redistricting advantages and how well sorted-out the House has become, it could still be very difficult for Democrats to pick up the 24 seats they would need.
The 2016 cycle will host 12 gubernatorial contests, including the special election in Oregon. Democrats are defending eight seats to four for Republicans. The marquis contests will be the Democratic-held open seats in Missouri, New Hampshire and West Virginia, and in North Carolina where GOP Gov. Pat McCrory is seeking a second term. With so few seats on the ballot, neither party is likely to make significant gains or sustain big losses.
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Charlie Cook's Column
Republicans Weigh Their RyanCare VotesMarch 23, 2017
More than a few House Republicans are likely to be taking deep breaths as they board the subway from the Longworth or Rayburn House Office Buildings to the Capitol on Thursday to vote on the American Health Care Act. They know that they will be casting a fateful vote on a bill that no one really likes and, given the lack of affection for it in the Senate, one that is...Read more »
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