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National Politics|By Amy Walter, July 10, 2014

Given that her book tour looked more like a campaign roll-out, it's hard to believe that Hillary Clinton will forgo a run in 2016. However, those close to the former Secretary of State continue to insist that her entry into the presidential race is not a foregone conclusion. Those we've talked with in Hillary's orbit give it a 70-80 percent chance that she jumps in. That there is some...

National Politics|By Amy Walter, June 25, 2014

Among the most intractable problems for Democrats this cycle is the drop-off problem. Simply put, Democratic base voters (unmarried women, younger people, and minorities), don’t show up to vote in mid-terms. Meanwhile, the GOP base – namely older, white voters – do. There’s now a steady amount of evidence that Democratic voters are simply less motivated to turn out this year than...

National Politics|By Amy Walter, June 18, 2014

Even though I have lived in Washington for almost 25 years, I like to think of myself as only slightly cynical. I don’t hate politics or politicians. I think our electoral system, while imperfect, is still pretty good. I think voters are smarter than we give them credit for. However, I’m not so Pollyana-ish to believe that voters are drawn to the polls by love or joy. Even “hope” doesn’t go all...

National Politics|By Amy Walter, June 11, 2014

The historic upset of Majority Leader Eric Cantor in Virginia’s GOP primary on Tuesday is currently dominating the political discourse. However, it’s clear that his loss was the outlier, not the norm. While many will read far too much into his loss, it did have one thing that set it apart from many others; a huge spike in turn-out from two years ago.

National Politics|By Amy Walter, May 29, 2014

While many have focused on the trouncing of the Tea Party in high profile Senate and House primaries (think Kentucky, Idaho, Georgia, and North Carolina ), the reality is that GOP problems go beyond the candidates themselves. To be sure, it only helps Republicans to avoid a replay of 2010 and 2012, when they nominated terribly flawed candidates. However, just ensuring that the candidate can...

Amy Walter, National Editor

Amy Walter is the Cook Political Report's National Editor. In her weekly column, Walter provides analysis of the issues, trends, and events that shape the national political environment.
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The 2016 Political Environment

Updated November 25, 2015 | As the 2016 election cycle begins to take shape, the Cook Political Report has identified several metrics worth monitoring between now and Election Day.

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