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National Politics|By Amy Walter, July 18, 2013

Which way will the political winds be blowing in 2014? At this point, it looks more like a cross-wind, with both parties likely to face some resistance, but not the kind of crushing political headwinds faced by Republicans in 2006 or Democrats in 2010. Barack Obama’s job approval rating, an important barometer for the health of his party, is rather anemic. Since June, Obama's approval rating,…

National Politics|By Amy Walter, July 10, 2013

It is a hamster wheel-like existence we are living in D.C. these days. There’s a whole lot of activity, and yet, we’re not going anywhere at all. Over the past two weeks there have been two “major” political events – the delay of the employer mandate under Obamacare and the passage of the Senate’s “Gang of Eight” immigration reform bill. But, don’t mistake these developments for movements. The…

National Politics|By Amy Walter, June 26, 2013

Last week’s failure of the farm bill in the House brought to light the fragility of the GOP coalition in the House. Republicans may have a 17-seat majority, but it’s a majority in name only. The factions within the conference have made it almost impossible to corral even a majority of the majority (the so-called Hastert Rule) on bi-partisan pieces of legislation. As one former senior House staffe…

National Politics|By Amy Walter, June 20, 2013

The president and the press love to cite national polls as the authority on how Americans see the issues. How many times have you heard about the “90 percent of Americans” who support background checks or the “overwhelming majority” who support a path to citizenship for illegal immigrants? But, for members of Congress, national polls matter very little. What matters is how that issue plays…

National Politics|By Amy Walter, June 11, 2013

To understand the immigration conundrum that the GOP faces in the House, it’s important to understand just how rare it is for a Republican House member to represent a Latino district. There are 108 majority-minority districts in the United States. Republicans represent just nine of them. Redistricting in 2012 helped create a structural advantage for the Republicans in the House, but, as my colle…

Amy Walter, National Editor

Amy Walter is the Cook Political Report's National Editor. In her weekly column, Walter provides analysis of the issues, trends, and events that shape the national political environment.
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The 2016 Political Environment

Updated November 25, 2015 | As the 2016 election cycle begins to take shape, the Cook Political Report has identified several metrics worth monitoring between now and Election Day.

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