During their coverage of the Watergate scandal, Washington Post reporters Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein were told by their secret source "Deep Throat" to "follow the money." In trying to determine which are the last states that will make a difference, follow the money is good advice. Given the incredible level and quality of state-level polling being conducted for the Clinton campaign and...
Author: Charlie Cook: Articles
With just over 10 days to go before Election Day, the outcome of the presidential contest seems settled though the margin is still in doubt. Of the name-brand polls, Fox News has the race closest—Hillary Clinton up 3 in a four-way race, up 5 when she and Donald Trump are matched head-to-head. The widest leads are 9 points (CBS News) and 11 (NBC News/Wall Street Journal). The ABC...
For several weeks many Republican candidates and operatives have been fretting that Donald Trump’s misbegotten candidacy could cause the bottom to fall out for GOP candidates in Senate, House, gubernatorial, state legislative, and other down-ballot races. While their concerns were legitimate, it seemed too soon for the GOP to panic. After all, the Donald Trump...
Republicans will now have four years to think about what they did to themselves this year, plenty of time to contemplate the consequences of handing over their party’s car keys to the tea-party movement and watching as the quintessential tea partier, Donald Trump, drove the car over a cliff. If Republicans are really, really lucky, their current 54-46 Senate majority will...
It’s getting increasingly difficult to characterize the presidential race as competitive. It really isn’t. Donald Trump’s share of the vote hasn’t plummeted, but his numbers among undecided voters—the crucial swing voters who are not part of his base—have become toxic. He has doubled down on keeping his base intact, making it difficult if not impossible to expand his...
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How Fake News Undermines DemocracyJanuary 17, 2017
Almost 130 years ago, German philosopher Friedrich Nietzsche wrote, “That which does not kill us, makes us stronger.” In a perverse way, BuzzFeed and CNN made President-elect Trump stronger this week.Read more »
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The 2016 Political Environment
Updated November 25, 2015 | As the 2016 election cycle begins to take shape, the Cook Political Report has identified several metrics worth monitoring between now and Election Day.Read full report »
C-SPAN's Q&A with Charlie Cook
Learn more about Charlie and the history of The Cook Political Report through a recent hour-long episode of CSPAN's Q&A.