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National Politics|By Charlie Cook, October 21, 2016

It’s get­ting in­creas­ingly dif­fi­cult to char­ac­ter­ize the pres­id­en­tial race as com­pet­it­ive. It really isn’t. Don­ald Trump’s share of the vote hasn’t plummeted, but his num­bers among un­de­cided voters—the cru­cial swing voters who are not part of his base—have be­come tox­ic. He has doubled down on keep­ing his base in­tact, mak­ing it dif­fi­cult if not im­possible to ex­pand his...

National Politics|By Charlie Cook, October 18, 2016

What a dif­fer­ence a week makes. In the wake of the first pres­id­en­tial de­bate, Hil­lary Clin­ton looked to be pulling away in the pres­id­en­tial race, the fight over the Sen­ate ma­jor­ity was an even-money bet, and Re­pub­lic­an con­trol of the House seemed to be a cinch. Today, the pres­id­en­tial race looks like a cake­walk for Clin­ton, the Re­pub­lic­an Sen­ate ma­jor­ity looks...

National Politics|By Charlie Cook, October 11, 2016

The head­line of a column by The New York Times’ Jim Ruten­berg in Thursday’s pa­per asked the ques­tion, “Ed­it­or­i­al Writers Have Spoken, but Will the Voters Listen?” The piece noted that The At­lantic (Na­tion­al Journ­al’s older sis­ter pub­lic­a­tion)—which had only en­dorsed two pres­id­en­tial can­did­ates in its 159-year his­tory just en­dorsed Hil­lary Clin­ton

National Politics|By Charlie Cook, October 7, 2016

Let’s start with the caveats: A lot can hap­pen in the 34 days be­fore the elec­tion. The polls are not as re­li­able as they used to be. People act in un­pre­dict­able ways in the polling booth. All that said, this race has fallen in­to a fairly pre­dict­able pat­tern. When Don­ald Trump veers off mes­sage and Hil­lary Clin­ton per­forms well, her lead swells to 6, 7, or 8 points. When Trump...

National Politics|By Charlie Cook, October 4, 2016

We’re in the polit­ic­al twi­light peri­od that comes after the first pres­id­en­tial de­bate but be­fore re­li­able sur­veys meas­ure the pub­lic’s re­ac­tion. Every­one ex­cept Don­ald Trump thinks Hil­lary Clin­ton “won” the de­bate, but don’t ex­pect a big jump for her in the polls. After the two con­ven­tions and some bad weeks for Trump, Clin­ton jumped ahead by an un­real­ist­ic and...

Charlie Cook

Charlie Cook is Editor and Publisher of the Cook Political Report and a political analyst for National Journal magazine, where he writes a twice weekly column. Charlie is considered one of the nation's leading authorities on American politics and U.S. elections.
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A Loud-Mouthed Fan Becomes Manager of the Team

January 20, 2017

The gen­er­al para­met­ers are already well known. In Novem­ber, Amer­ic­ans elec­ted a pres­id­ent who had no gov­ern­ment ex­per­i­ence of any kind. He was clearly not well-versed in policy is­sues and had a pro­cliv­ity to shoot from the hip, say­ing whatever came to mind, work­ing off of in­stinct rather than ex­pert­ise. We have elec­ted out­siders be­fore, but they have been the gov­ernor...

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The 2016 Political Environment

Updated November 25, 2015 | As the 2016 election cycle begins to take shape, the Cook Political Report has identified several metrics worth monitoring between now and Election Day.

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C-SPAN's Q&A with Charlie Cook

Learn more about Charlie and the history of The Cook Political Report through a recent hour-long episode of CSPAN's Q&A.

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