I argued in a column last week that, despite the conventional wisdom that Hillary Clinton is certain to run for president in 2016, there's a decent chance—maybe 30 percent—that she won't. Obviously, that means there's still about a 70 percent chance that she will.The article's point was very deliberately not to make a case that she absolutely would or wouldn't run. My intention was purely to...
Author: Charlie Cook: Articles
At least every week now, there is a new story supporting the narrative of an inevitable 2016 Hillary Clinton presidential bid. Indeed, the conventional wisdom is that it is an absolute certainty that she will run. If anyone is currently saying, flat out, that Hillary isn't running, I haven't come across them. Is the inevitability of her run really as certain as the conventional wisdom...
More than a few people are scratching their heads over what would seem to be a reversal by Speaker John Boehner on immigration. It’s been no secret that he has long wanted and thought it was important for the Republican Party to do something to address the immigration issue, and by extension, the GOP’s growing and pervasive problem with minority voters. It also matters that some elements of...
We can only imagine the mood in House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi's office, or at the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, on the day a front-page article in Politico screamed, "Democrats: Cede House to Save Senate." Having heard Pelosi arguing vigorously within the last three weeks—in private—that Democrats could still win a House majority this year, and pushing back hard against any...
The Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza created something of a stir recently with his column headlined, “2014 Senate races may be a referendum on Obama; if so, Democrats should worry.”Cillizza (a former Cook Political Report staffer) linked to the Gallup Organization’s just-released aggregation of all of its 2013 polling data, with President Obama’s job-approval and disapproval numbers broken down...
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A Presidency Headed in the Wrong DirectionMarch 28, 2017
Nobody knows where this nascent Donald Trump presidency is going. New administrations start off with an infinite number of potential trajectories, but this one is even more unpredictable than others. Trump could still turn out to be a successful president. As an American, I certainly hope he will. But today at least, it looks more like a “death by a thousand cuts.”Read more »
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The 2016 Political Environment
Updated November 25, 2015 | As the 2016 election cycle begins to take shape, the Cook Political Report has identified several metrics worth monitoring between now and Election Day.Read full report »
C-SPAN's Q&A with Charlie Cook
Learn more about Charlie and the history of The Cook Political Report through a recent hour-long episode of CSPAN's Q&A.