This presidential race is very, very close, with the poll averages showing Hillary Clinton nursing a small lead. The RealClearPolitics.com average puts her ahead of Donald Trump by just 1.1 points, 41 percent to 39.9 percent, with Libertarian Gary Johnson third at 8.8 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein fourth with 2.9 percent. The RCP two-way gives Clinton a...
Author: Charlie Cook: Articles
If you focus on the national presidential horse-race polls, Hillary Clinton has a sliver of a lead over Donald Trump—by nine-tenths of a point in the RealClearPolitics.com average of major national polls in the two-way trial heat, 44.9 to 44 percent; by seven-tenths of a point in the four-way heat, 41 to 40.3 percent, with Libertarian Gary Johnson third at 8.6 percent...
Polls coming out every day make it clear that this presidential race has gotten very close. National surveys put it somewhere between a tie and a lead of about 2 points for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump. This is a far cry from the lead of about 8 points that Clinton had last month, although that gap was probably unsustainable.
It’s interesting to watch Hillary Clinton’s highly schizophrenic campaign. On one level, in terms of strategy and tactics, organizational abilities, use of technology, and the like, it is a very impressive effort, a blending of the best from her 2008 campaign with the cream of the 2008 and 2012 Obama presidential efforts.
There’s no doubt that the presidential race has tightened up, but the operative question is whether Donald Trump has caught up or even overtaken Hillary Clinton. Polls are coming in by the bushel, some traditionally reliable, others of dubious quality. The CNN/ORC poll released on Tuesday caught a lot of attention. The sample of all registered voters showed Clinton ahead by 3 points, 44 to 41...
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The 2016 Political Environment
Updated November 25, 2015 | As the 2016 election cycle begins to take shape, the Cook Political Report has identified several metrics worth monitoring between now and Election Day.Read full report »
C-SPAN's Q&A with Charlie Cook
Learn more about Charlie and the history of The Cook Political Report through a recent hour-long episode of CSPAN's Q&A.