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National Politics|By Charlie Cook, October 15, 2012

Before the first presidential debate, this column repeatedly pointed out that Mitt Romney needed something to happen—an event or development that would change the trajectory of this race—or he would lose. As Jay Leno remarked, the only people who thought President Obama won the debate were the NFL replacement referees. Unquestionably, the Denver debate changed the course of the r…

National Politics|By Charlie Cook, October 12, 2012

By the end of this week, we should have a better idea of the true degree that Mitt Romney’s strong--and President Obama’s weak--debate performance had on this contest. In the live interviewer polls conducted with respondents with landline and cellular telephones, Obama had a lead of between 3 and 5 points before the debate. Sure, there were some quality polls showing the race even or Obama…

National Politics|By Charlie Cook, October 8, 2012

Too many political observers see politics in an entirely binary way: Everything has to be either a “0” or a “1”; a race is either tied or it’s over; every election is either won or stolen. Some people never want to admit that their side lost. And some people think that a poll either tells them what they want to hear or is methodologically flawed—or crooked.

National Politics|By Charlie Cook, October 4, 2012

Going into Wednesday night’s debate, the presidential race was neither ‘too close to call’ nor ‘over.’ Mitt Romney was behind President Obama by maybe three to five points. More importantly, his poll numbers were, as pollsters say, “upside down” or “underwater”--- his unfavorable or negative personal ratings were higher than his favorable or positive numbers. Romney’s situation was worse in swin…

National Politics|By Charlie Cook, October 1, 2012

Public attitudes toward candidates and elections often start off in a fluid state. Then they gradually begin to jell, first reaching a semisolid state before hardening to rock-solid. This year’s presidential race isn’t over, but Mitt Romney’s current trajectory in the polls will not cross President Obama’s by Nov. 6—or maybe even Nov. 6 of next year. If something doesn’t happen t…

Charlie Cook

Charlie Cook is Editor and Publisher of the Cook Political Report and a political analyst for National Journal magazine, where he writes a twice weekly column. Charlie is considered one of the nation's leading authorities on American politics and U.S. elections.
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Hostile Swing Voters Spell Trouble for House Republicans

February 28, 2017

The two-thirds of Re­pub­lic­ans in the House who have nev­er served when the GOP held ma­jor­it­ies in the House and Sen­ate along­side a GOP pres­id­ent can be for­giv­en for not re­mem­ber­ing the last time they were sim­il­arly situ­ated. It was 2006, and they lost 30 seats in the House. When Demo­crats were last in that situ­ation, it was 2010 and they lost 63 House seats. When one party...

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The 2016 Political Environment

Updated November 25, 2015 | As the 2016 election cycle begins to take shape, the Cook Political Report has identified several metrics worth monitoring between now and Election Day.

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C-SPAN's Q&A with Charlie Cook

Learn more about Charlie and the history of The Cook Political Report through a recent hour-long episode of CSPAN's Q&A.

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