The year-end 2016 FEC reports are out, providing a first look at the beginning cash-on-hand balances for Senate incumbents up for re-election in 2018. While these numbers are hardly determinant of the outcome of races that will occur 20 months from now, they do shed some light as to how much thought and early preparation have gone into a re-election bid.
Author: Jennifer Duffy: Articles
Historical political trends have long served as guideposts for political analysts when handicapping presidential and congressional elections. As the 2016 elections so poignantly demonstrated, relying on such trends is hardly foolproof, but cycles like these have tended to be more the exception than the rule. Still, the 2016 cycle – or more accurately, its results – does create some...
Early retirement announcements have become the norm over the last few cycles. Strategists in both parties believe that the sooner an incumbent announces the intention to retire, the sooner the parties can recruit candidates and the sooner those candidates can begin fundraising and putting their campaigns together. So far, the 2018 class of Senate incumbents appears to be bucking this trend....
The 2016 Senate race cycle comes to a close Saturday when Louisiana holds its run-off election between Republican state Treasurer John Kennedy and Democratic Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell. The run-off has been so quiet and free of conflict that it’s easy to forget that it is on the calendar.
Jennifer Duffy, Senior Editor
Also On Cook Political
Articles By Author
The 2016 Political Environment
Updated November 25, 2015 | As the 2016 election cycle begins to take shape, the Cook Political Report has identified several metrics worth monitoring between now and Election Day.Read full report »