The Insider's Choice for Election Analysis

2011/2012 GOVERNORS RACE RATINGS

May 17, 2012

Governor Lineup: 20 Democrats, 29 Republicans, 1 Independents
Governors with names in parentheses are retiring.
Races in bold are 2011

The chart below provides a spectrum that analyzes the vulnerability (the chances of the seat switching parties) of the Governor races up this cycle.

Solid: These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested.
Likely: These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.
Lean: These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage.
Toss Up: These are the most competitive races; either party has a good chance of winning.

DEMOCRATS | 8 HELD SEATS

SOLID D (2)

Markell (DE)

Shumlin (VT)

LIKELY D (0)

LEAN D (2)

Nixon (MO)

Tomblin (WV)

TOSS UP (3)

MT (Schweitzer)

NH (Lynch)

WA (Gregoire)

LEAN R (1)

NC (Perdue)

LIKELY R (0)

SOLID R (0)

REPUBLICANS | 4 HELD SEATS

SOLID D (0)

LIKELY D (0)

LEAN D (0)

TOSS UP (1)

Walker (WI)

LEAN R (0)

LIKELY R (1)

IN (Daniels)

SOLID R (2)

Dalrymple (ND)

Herbert (UT)

* = potential retirement

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