The Insider's Choice for Election Analysis

2010 GOVERNORS RACE RATINGS

January 14, 2010

Governor Lineup: 26 Democrats, 24 Republicans, 0 Independents
Governors with names in parentheses are retiring.

The chart below provides a spectrum that analyzes the vulnerability (the chances of the seat switching parties) of the Governor races up this cycle.

Solid: These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested.
Likely: These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.
Lean: These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage.
Toss Up: These are the most competitive races; either party has a good chance of winning.

DEMOCRATS | 19 HELD SEATS

SOLID D (4)

Beebe (AR)

O'Malley (MD)

Lynch (NH)

Paterson (NY)

LIKELY D (3)

ME (Baldacci)

NM (Richardson)

OR (Kulongoski)

LEAN D (4)

Quinn (IL)

Patrick (MA)

Strickland (OH)

PA (Rendell)

TOSS UP (4)

CO (Ritter)

Culver (IA)

MI (Granholm)

WI (Doyle)

LEAN R (3)

OK (Henry)

TN (Bredesen)

WY (Freudenthal)

LIKELY R (1)

KS (Parkinson)

SOLID R (0)

REPUBLICANS | 18 HELD SEATS

SOLID D (0)

LIKELY D (0)

LEAN D (0)

TOSS UP (10)

Brewer (AZ)

CA (Schwarzenegger)

CT (Rell)

FL (Crist)

GA (Perdue)

HI (Lingle)

MN (Pawlenty)

Gibbons* (NV)

RI (Carcieri)

VT (Douglas)

LEAN R (2)

AL (Riley)

Perry (TX)

LIKELY R (3)

Parnell (AK)

SC (Sanford)

Herbert (UT)

SOLID R (3)

Otter (ID)

Heineman (NE)

SD (Rounds)

* = potential retirement

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