The Insider's Choice for Election Analysis

HOUSE MEMBERS WHO WON WITH 55% OR LESS

September 15, 2011

DEMOCRATS (48)

55% TO 52% (22)

51.9% TO 50% (15)

49.9% OR LESS (11)
CO-07 Ed Perlmutter 53.1%
CT-04 Jim Himes 53.1%
CT-05 Chris Murphy 54.3%
HI-01 Colleen Hanabusa 53.2%
KY-03 John Yarmuth 54.5%
MA-04 Barney Frank 53.9%
MA-05 Niki Tsongas 54.9%
MI-05 Dale Kildee 53.0%
MO-05 Emanuel Cleaver, II 53.1%
NC-07 Mike McIntyre 53.8%
NC-08 Larry Kissell 52.9%
NC-11 Heath Shuler 54.3%
NJ-06 Frank Pallone Jr. 54.7%
NJ-12 Rush Holt 52.9%
NY-04 Carolyn McCarthy 53.7%
NY-22 Maurice Hinchey 52.4%
OH-10 Dennis Kucinich 52.8%
OH-17 Tim Ryan 53.7%
OR-01 David Wu 54.8%
OR-04 Peter DeFazio 53.6%
TX-25 Lloyd Doggett 52.8%
WA-09 Adam Smith 54.6%
CA-20 Jim Costa 51.8%
CA-47 Loretta Sánchez 51.0%
GA-02 Sanford Bishop, Jr. 51.4%
IA-02 Dave Loebsack 51.0%
IA-03 Leonard Boswell 50.7%
KY-06 Ben Chandler 50.1%
NM-01 Martin Heinrich 51.6%
NY-01 Tim Bishop 50.1%
OR-05 Kurt Schrader 51.5%
PA-04 Jason Altmire 51.1%
PA-12 Mark Critz 50.8%
RI-01 David Cicilline 50.6%
UT-02 Jim Matheson 50.7%
WA-02 Rick Larsen 51.0%
WI-03 Ron Kind 50.3%
AZ-07 Raúl Grijalva 49.4%
AZ-08 Gabrielle Giffords 48.7%
CA-11 Jerry McNerney 48.0%
IA-01 Bruce Braley 49.5%
IN-02 Joe Donnelly 48.2%
MA-10 Bill Keating 46.9%
MI-09 Gary Peters 49.8%
MN-01 Tim Walz 49.4%
MO-03 Russ Carnahan 48.9%
NY-23 Bill Owens 48.1%
VA-11 Gerry Connolly 49.3%
 

REPUBLICANS (61)

55% TO 52% (31)

51.9% TO 50% (21)

49.9% OR LESS (9)
AZ-03 Ben Quayle 52.6%
AZ-05 David Schweikert 52.9%
CA-26 David Dreier 54.0%
CO-04 Cory Gardner 53.1%
FL-02 Steve Southerland 53.5%
FL-22 Allen West 54.3%
FL-25 David Rivera 52.4%
GA-08 Austin Scott 52.6%
IL-17 Bobby Schilling 52.6%
IN-09 Todd Young 52.3%
MD-01 Andy Harris 54.6%
MN-06 Michele Bachmann 52.5%
ND-AL Rick Berg 54.9%
NH-01 Frank Guinta 53.8%
NY-09 Bob Turner 54.0%
NY-19 Nan Hayworth 52.8%
NY-24 Richard Hanna 52.9%
OH-01 Steve Chabot 52.4%
OH-15 Steve Stivers 54.7%
OH-16 Jim Renacci 52.2%
OH-18 Bob Gibbs 53.9%
PA-07 Pat Meehan 55.0%
PA-08 Mike Fitzpatrick 53.7%
PA-11 Lou Barletta 54.5%
PA-15 Charlie Dent 53.5%
SC-02 Joe Wilson 53.5%
SC-05 Mick Mulvaney 54.7%
VA-02 Scott Rigell 53.2%
WA-03 Jaime Herrera 53.2%
WA-08 Dave Reichert 52.5%
WI-07 Sean Duffy 52.0%
WI-08 Reid Ribble 54.8%
AL-02 Martha Roby 51.1%
AR-01 Rick Crawford 51.8%
CA-03 Dan Lungren 50.6%
CA-45 Mary Bono Mack 51.9%
CA-49 Darrell Issa 50.7%
CO-03 Scott Tipton 50.2%
ID-01 Raul Labrador 51.0%
IL-10 Robert Dold 51.2%
IL-14 Randy Hultgren 51.4%
MI-01 Dan Benishek 51.9%
MI-07 Tim Walberg 50.1%
MO-04 Vicky Hartzler 50.4%
MS-04 Steven Palazzo 51.8%
NJ-03 Jon Runyan 50.1%
NY-13 Michael Grimm 51.5%
NY-25 Ann Marie Buerkle 50.1%
OH-06 Bill Johnson 50.3%
TX-27 Blake Farenthold 50.1%
VA-05 Robert Hurt 50.8%
VA-09 Morgan Griffith 51.2%
WV-01 David McKinley 50.4%
AZ-01 Paul Gosar 49.7%
FL-12 Dennis Ross 48.1%
IL-08 Joe Walsh 48.5%
MN-08 Chip Cravaack 48.2%
NH-02 Charlie Bass 48.4%
NV-03 Joe Heck 48.2%
NC-02 Renee Elmers 49.5%
SD-AL Kristi Noem 48.1%
TX-23 Francisco Canseco 49.4%

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