The Insider's Choice for Election Analysis

2010 COMPETITIVE HOUSE RACE CHART

January 23, 2009

Below is a list of the competitive and potentially competitive House races for .

Likely: These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.
Lean: These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage.
Toss-Up: These are the most competitive; either party has a good chance of winning.

Bolded name denotes opposing party's seat
Italicized name denotes Freshman member
* denotes possible incumbent retirement
# denotes possible serious primary challenge

Democrats currently have 22 seats listed as Lean or Toss Up.
Republicans currently have 6 seats listed as Lean or Toss Up.

LIKELY DEMOCRATIC

LEAN DEMOCRATIC

DEMOCRATIC TOSS UP

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AZ-1 Ann Kirkpatrick R+2
AZ-5 Harry Mitchell R+4
AZ-8 Gabrielle Giffords R+1
FL-22 Ron Klein* D+4
FL-24 Suzanne Kosmas R+3
IL-8 Melissa Bean R+5
IL-11 Debbie Halvorson R+1
IN-2 Joe Donnelly R+4
IN-9 Baron Hill R+7
KS-3 Dennis Moore R+4
LA-2 Joseph Cao D+28
ME-1 Chellie Pingree D+6
NH-1 Carol Shea-Porter* R+0
NJ-3 John Adler D+3
NM-1 Marty Heinrich D+2
NY-19 John Hall R+1
NY-25 Dan Maffei D+3
OH-1 Steve Driehaus R+1
OH-15 Mary Jo Kilroy R+1
OH-16 John Boccieri R+4
OH-18 Zack Space* R+6
OR-5 Kurt Schrader D+1
PA-3 Kathy Dahlkemper R+2
PA-4 Jason Altmire R+3
PA-10 Chris Carney R+8
PA-11 Paul Kanjorski D+5
TX-23 Ciro Rodriguez R+4
VA-11 Gerald Connolly R+1
WI-8 Steve Kagen R+4

28 DEMOCRATS
1 REPUBLICANS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AL-5 Parker Griffith R+6
CA-11 Jerry McNerney R+3
CO-4 Betsy Markey R+9
FL-8 Alan Grayson R+3
GA-8 Jim Marshall R+8
IL-14 Bill Foster R+5
MD-1 Frank Kratovil R+10
MI-7 Mark Schauer R+2
MI-9 Gary Peters R+0
MS-1 Travis Childers R+10
NV-3 Dina Titus D+1
NM-2 Harry Teague R+6
NY-13 Mike McMahon D+1
NY-24 Michael Arcuri R+1
NY-29 Eric Massa R+5
NC-8 Larry Kissell R+3
TX-17 Chet Edwards R+18
VA-2 Glenn Nye R+6
VA-5 Tom Perriello R+6

19 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AL-2 Bobby Bright R+13
ID-1 Walter Minnick R+19
NY-20 VACANT R+3

3 DEMOCRATS
0 REPUBLICANS

 

REPUBLICAN TOSS UP

LEAN REPUBLICAN

LIKELY REPUBLICAN

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI

0 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AK-AL Don Young R+14
CA-44 Ken Calvert R+6
CA-50 Brian Bilbray R+5
MI-11 Thad McCotter R+1
PA-6 Jim Gerlach D+2
WA-8 Dave Reichert D+2

6 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS

DIST. REPRESENTATIVE PVI
AL-3 Mike Rogers R+4
AZ-3 John Shadegg R+6
CA-3 Dan Lungren R+7
CA-4 Tom McClintock R+11
CA-26 David Dreier R+4
CA-45 Mary Bono Mack R+3
CA-46 Dana Rohrabacher R+6
FL-13 Vern Buchanan R+4
FL-16 Tom Rooney R+2
FL-25 Mario Diaz-Balart R+4
IL-10 Mark Kirk D+4
IL-13 Judy Biggert R+5
IN-3 Mark Souder R+16
IA-4 Tom Latham D+0
LA-4 John Fleming R+7
MN-3 Erik Paulsen R+1
MN-6 Michele Bachmann R+5
MO-9 Blaine Luetkemeyer R+7
NE-2 Lee Terry R+9
NV-2 Dean Heller R+8
NJ-7 Leonard Lance R+1
NY-26 Chris Lee R+3
OH-2 Jean Schmidt R+13
PA-15 Charlie Dent D+2
SC-1 Henry Brown R+10
TX-10 Michael McCaul R+13

26 REPUBLICANS
0 DEMOCRATS

* = potential retirement

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