The Insider's Choice for Election Analysis

2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS

November 8, 2011

Senate Lineup: 51 Democrats, 47 Republicans, 2 Independent(s)
Senators with names in parentheses are retiring.

The chart below provides a spectrum that analyzes the vulnerability (the chances of the seat switching parties) of the Senate races up this cycle.

Solid: These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested.
Likely: These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.
Lean: These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage.
Toss Up: These are the most competitive races; either party has a good chance of winning.

DEMOCRATS | 23 HELD SEATS

SOLID D (8)

Feinstein (CA)

Carper (DE)

Cardin (MD)

Klobuchar (MN)

Menendez (NJ)

Gillibrand (NY)

Whitehouse (RI)

Sanders (VT)

LIKELY D (5)

CT (Lieberman)

Stabenow (MI)

Casey (PA)

Cantwell (WA)

Manchin (WV)

LEAN D (2)

Nelson (FL)

Brown (OH)

TOSS UP (7)

HI (Akaka)

McCaskill (MO)

Tester (MT)

Nelson (NE)

NM (Bingaman)

VA (Webb)

WI (Kohl)

LEAN R (1)

ND (Conrad)

LIKELY R (0)

SOLID R (0)

REPUBLICANS | 10 HELD SEATS

SOLID D (0)

LIKELY D (0)

LEAN D (0)

TOSS UP (2)

Brown (MA)

Heller (NV)

LEAN R (0)

LIKELY R (4)

AZ (Kyl)

Lugar (IN)

Snowe* (ME)

TX (Hutchison)

SOLID R (4)

Wicker (MS)

Corker (TN)

Hatch* (UT)

Barrasso (WY)

* = potential retirement

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