New House FEC Reports: Rating Changes in 7 Districts

Speaker Paul Ryan's retirement plans could complicate the House GOP's fundraising math. In 2017, Ryan's joint fundraising committee brought in $44 million and transferred $32 million to the NRCC. His exit could leave GOP donors skittish. But even before last week, Democratic donors had been demonstrating far more enthusiasm on a race-by-race basis, a fact reflected in the newest House fundraising reports.

Ryan Retirement Puts WI-01 at Risk and Throws House GOP Into Deeper Turmoil

Speaker Paul Ryan's announcement that he will not seek reelection to his southeastern Wisconsin district in 2018 (though he will serve out the rest of his term) is a deep blow to his party's morale in its uphill efforts to hold the House majority. It's also not entirely a surprise: when he reluctantly took the speaker's gavel in 2015 under heavy pressure, he couldn't have imagined he would have to deal with a President Donald Trump.

Sorting Through the 2020 Democratic Primary Already (Quietly) Underway

As the midterm elections dominate political news coverage these days, the early machinations by prospective 2020 Democratic presidential contenders are quietly well under way. Indeed, staff and consultants are already being hired by many wannabes, and early states are already scoring visits from potential candidates.

Esty Debacle Moves CT-05 From Solid Democratic to Likely Democratic

Last week, the Washington Post reported that Democratic Rep. Elizabeth Esty (CT-05) had retained a chief of staff who had been accused of sexual harassment and assault for three months after she first learned of the allegations in 2016. Today, under heavy pressure from colleagues and a Friday Hartford Courant editorial calling on her to resign, Esty announced that she would not seek a fourth term in her northwestern Connecticut district 2018.

Is the Trump Bump Real?

Even as Stormy swirls, the president seems to have found his footing. Reporting from the White House press corps is that after a year of on-the-job training, the president is feeling much more confident and eager to follow-through on his 2016 campaign promises. Since the beginning of the year, he’s cleaned house at the cabinet level, taken a harder line on tariffs, especially on Chinese products, and is planning a sit-down with North Korean dictator Kim Jong-Un. At the same time, Trump’s overall job approval ratings have been on the upswing.

Costello Retirement Moves PA-06 from Toss Up to Likely Democratic

Over the weekend, moderate GOP Rep. Ryan Costello (PA-06) confirmed that he wouldn't run for reelection, reversing course just days after filing petitions to put his name on the ballot. The move deprives Republicans of a well-liked incumbent with $1.3 million in the bank in a suburban Philadelphia district and puts Democrat Chrissy Houlahan in the driver's seat to take over a very favorably redrawn seat.

Subscribe to