Updates

Changing Times

May 14, 2012
It’s unlikely that same-sex marriage is going to push the economy out of the dominant role in this election. Indeed, short of a major international incident, it is unlikely that any other issue will displace the economic ones. But gay marriage was the most discussed issue last week.
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Lugar’s Downfall

May 10, 2012
One way to explain Sen. Richard Lugar’s loss to state Treasurer Richard Mourdock in this week’s Indiana Republican primary is to attribute it to a tea party takeover of the GOP. A second explanation is that a venerable public servant overstayed his welcome and ran for reelection one time too many.
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Silence Is Golden

May 7, 2012
If the presidential race were a football game, we would be at halftime. Admittedly, that metaphor comes up short. Having avoided a nomination challenge, President Obama’s team effectively got a bye and goes straight to the finals starting in September.
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Race Charts

Presidential Voting by State (1992-2008)

This chart shows how many times each state has voted Democrat/Republican in the last five Presidential elections.

Major Party Vote Margin for 2004-2008 Presidential Elections

This chart shows the average vote margin when looking at only major-party votes for the Presidential elections of 2004 and 2008.

Historic Party Affiliation

This chart tracks the aggregate Gallup party affiliation numbers each year between 1988-2008.