The first debate of the 2016 fall season has concluded with a whimper more than a bang. If you were expecting the sky to fall or the race to be completed upended, you were sorely disappointed. If you went into the debate expecting or hoping see a more thoughtful, nuanced and disciplined Trump, you didn’t get it. If you expected - or hoped - to hear Hillary Clinton’s vision for the future or the...
Presidential: Recent Updates
This presidential race is very, very close, with the poll averages showing Hillary Clinton nursing a small lead. The RealClearPolitics.com average puts her ahead of Donald Trump by just 1.1 points, 41 percent to 39.9 percent, with Libertarian Gary Johnson third at 8.8 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein fourth with 2.9 percent. The RCP two-way gives Clinton a...
If you focus on the national presidential horse-race polls, Hillary Clinton has a sliver of a lead over Donald Trump—by nine-tenths of a point in the RealClearPolitics.com average of major national polls in the two-way trial heat, 44.9 to 44 percent; by seven-tenths of a point in the four-way heat, 41 to 40.3 percent, with Libertarian Gary Johnson third at 8.6 percent...
This is it. The final sprint to the November election has begun. But, even with just a couple months to go, there are still some questions yet to be answered that will have a big impact on the final vote.
This document, compiled by Cook Political staff, contains statewide polling data, in combination with the RealClearPolitics (4-way) running average in battleground states. The percentage of votes listed under Romney and Obama are pulled directly from the FEC Election Results publication.
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Electoral Vote Scorecard
The Cook Political Report's Electoral College Voting Ratings. Updated weekly and printable for on-the-run reference.
Trump Support in House
The Cook Political Report has compiled news reports and the public statements of all 247 House Republicans, and sorted their attitudes towards Trump on a seven-point scale.
2016 Democrat Delegate Scorecard
At any given point in the primaries, the Democratic candidate who comes the closest to hitting his or her lane's delegate cumulative "benchmark" on our scorecard should be regarded as the frontrunner.
Historic Party Affiliation
This chart tracks the aggregate Gallup party affiliation numbers each year between 1988-2008.
Presidential Voting by State (1992-2012)
The chart below shows how many times each state has voted Democrat and/or Republican in the last six Presidential elections.
Major Party Vote Margin for 2004-2008 Presidential Elections
This chart shows the average vote margin when looking at only major-party votes for the Presidential elections of 2004 and 2008.
Two-Term Presidents: Post-WWII Partisan Trends
Opposing party gains under and following second term presidents.