Some time in the next six months, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is expected to decide whether to seek the presidency in 2016. But how will she do if she decides to run? In 2008, the nomination was widely seen as hers for the taking. But that, as we all know, was not to be. On one level, the Democratic Party was buying what then-Sen. Barack Obama was selling. Democrats wanted to...
There’s an odd binary mindset these days about the Democrats in 2016. Either the party will stick with their current frontrunner and standard bearer Hillary Clinton, or the base will rebel and promote the more progressive, “edgier” Elizabeth Warren as the nominee. A parent with more than one child can love each of their children equally; differently, yes, but equally nonetheless. So, why is...
There’s a very important part of the human brain's wiring that blurs painful events and allows us to move on. It’s how we manage to have multiple children, even though we know the pain of childbirth and 3 a.m. feedings. It’s how we can bury our loved ones, while not losing the capacity to love or care for others. We somehow manage to eat again after a particularly nasty bout of a stomach bug....
Almost anytime I engage in a conversation about 2016 presidential prospects, the first thing that gets brought up is the shortcomings of the potential candidates: Chris Christie’s “Bridgegate,” Rand Paul’s perceived isolationism, Hillary Clinton’s “Benghazi,” and Marco Rubio’s immigration vote. Republicans openly fret about the fact that they don’t have a candidate with the experience and...
New polling from NBC/Wall Street Journal shows a public still struggling to regain its economic footing six years after the financial meltdown of 2008. Americans’ real economic distress is one reason why President Obama is not getting credit for a steadily dropping unemployment rate and improved economic growth. The other reason a (slowly) growing economy isn’t boosting Obama’s numbers is more...
Electoral Vote Scorecard
The Cook Political Report's Electoral College Voting Ratings. Updated weekly and printable for on-the-run reference.
Historic Party Affiliation
This chart tracks the aggregate Gallup party affiliation numbers each year between 1988-2008.
Presidential Voting by State (1992-2012)
The chart below shows how many times each state has voted Democrat and/or Republican in the last six Presidential elections.
Major Party Vote Margin for 2004-2008 Presidential Elections
This chart shows the average vote margin when looking at only major-party votes for the Presidential elections of 2004 and 2008.
Two-Term Presidents: Post-WWII Partisan Trends
Opposing party gains under and following second term presidents.