Senate

SENATE OVERVIEW: Competitive Democratic Seats

February 4, 2010
Senior Editor Jennifer Duffy updates the range of potential net gains for Republicans in the Senate, concluding that the political environment, some recruiting successes and unexpected decisions by Democrats combine to put the GOP in a position to pick up between four and six seats. She also takes a look at whether Democrats’ majority is in danger, and provides updates on the 10 most vulnerable Democratic-held Senate seats.
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Indiana Senate

February 3, 2010
Former Republican Sen. Dan Coats will announce today that he will challenge Democratic Sen. Evan Bayh in November. Coats served in the Senate from January 3, 1989 until his retirement on January 3, 1999. Bayh won the open seat contest to succeed him. The race moves to Lean Democratic.
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Delaware Senate: Race Moves to Solid Republican; GOP is Poised to Gain Two to Four Seats in November

January 25, 2010
Senior Editor Jennifer Duffy writes: Democratic Attorney General Beau Biden announced today that he will not be a candidate in November’s special election to fulfill the remainder of his father’s Senate term. Not only does Biden’s decision make Democrats’ efforts to hold the seat exponentially more difficult, leading us to move it to the Solid Republican column, but it impacts the overall Senate math. We have been projecting the range of net gains for Republicans in November at no net change to a pick-up of three seats. With Biden’s decision, we are now projecting a net gain for Republicans of two to four seats in the Senate.
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