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Summary

Democrats — 44

Republicans — 54

Independents — 2

The chart below provides a spectrum that analyzes the vulnerability (the chances of the seat switching parties) of the Senate races up this cycle.

Solid: These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested.

Likely: These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.

Lean: These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage.

Toss Up: These are the most competitive races; either party has a good chance of winning.

Senators with names in parentheses are retiring.

Democrats | 10 Held Seats

Solid D Likely D Lean D Toss Up Lean R Likely R Solid R

CA (Boxer)

Blumenthal (CT)

Schatz (HI)

MD (Mikulski)

Schumer (NY)

Wyden (OR)

Leahy (VT)

Murray (WA)

Bennet (CO)

 

NV (Reid)

 

 

 

Republicans | 24 Held Seats

Solid D Likely D Lean D Toss Up Lean R Likely R Solid R

 

 

Kirk (IL)

IN (Coats)

Blunt (MO)

Ayotte (NH)

Burr (NC)

Toomey (PA)

Johnson (WI)

McCain (AZ)

Rubio (FL)

Portman (OH)

Murkowski (AK)

Isakson (GA)

Grassley (IA)

Shelby (AL)

Boozman (AR)

Crapo (ID)

Moran (KS)

Paul (KY)

LA (Vitter) ?

Hoeven (ND)

Lankford (OK)

Scott (SC)

Thune (SD)

Lee (UT)

* = potential retirement