The June 25 special election to finish the remainder of former Democratic U.S. Sen. John Kerry’s term is just 12 days away. Two weeks ago, we moved this race to Toss Up based on polling, particularly Democratic U.S. Rep. Ed Markey’s less than stellar numbers, and the unpredictable nature of special elections. At the time, we did put a thumb on the scale for Markey. Not all that much has change…
Senate: Recent Updates
Within a week of Democratic Sen. Frank Lautenberg’s death, Republican Gov. Chris Christie set the dates for the special election, and the filing deadline for that election has come and gone. Six candidates filed the necessary petitions to qualify for the August 13 primaries. Four candidates will vie for the Democratic nomination: Newark Mayor Cory Booker, U.S. Reps. Rush Holt and Frank Pallo…
Aside from all of the controversies swirling around President Obama, the Justice Department, the Internal Revenue Service, and the intelligence community, the top political question these days is whether Republicans really have a good shot at picking up a U.S. Senate seat in Massachusetts in the June 25 special election. Special elections, with low voter turnout, are often highly volatile and dif…
Just three days after Democratic Sen. Frank Lautenberg’s death, the race to succeed him has become somewhat clearer. On Tuesday, Republican Gov. Chris Christie announced that there would be a special election on October 16 with a primary on August 13. And, this afternoon, Christie named state Attorney General Jeffrey Chiesa as the interim U.S. Senator. The election schedule may be set, but C…
Special elections are quirky things. As the only race on the ballot and generally at a time when voters aren’t accustomed to going to the polls, they occur in a political vacuum. Predicting turnout is difficult. This, of course, makes conducting polls difficult because even the best pollsters may or may not get the sample right. Such is the case in the Massachusetts special…
|Seats Up in 2014||Toss Up||Lean D||Likely D||Solid D||Seats Up in 2016||Seats Up in 2018|
|Toss Up||Lean R||Likely R||Solid R|
A listing of candidates and race ratings in all current Senate races. Updated weekly and printable for on-the-run reference.Updated 05:09 PM, Jun 13
The Cook Political Report's latest ratings for all competitive and potentially competitive Senate seats.Updated 05:09 PM, Jun 12
General Election Polls
A selection of public opinion polling in Senate general election contests across the nation.
Primary Trial Heats
A selection of public opinion polling in Senate primary election contests across the nation.Updated 02:10 PM, Jun 13
A summary of key financial information filed by Senate candidates with the Federal Election Commission.Updated 02:43 PM, May 2
2014 Battleground Chart
2014 Senate Races: Romney Performance vs. Obama PerformanceNovember 12, 2012
2012 Senate General Election Polls with Final Results
A collection of polling data from the 2012 cycle, with final general election results included.
Two-Term Presidents: Post-WWII Partisan Trends
Opposing party gains under and following second term presidents.
The Cook Political Report Senate Scatterplot for Republican and Democratic held states by win percentage and PVI.
Senate: 2014 55% and Under Charts
The chart below displays Senators up for reelection in 2014 who won with less than 55% of the vote in 2008.
Charlie Cook's Column
Second-Term BluesJune 17, 2013
The good news for President Obama and his administration is that all the controversies swirling around the White House have not had a significant impact on his job-approval ratings. The bad news is that, like so many other second-term administrations, Obama’s may end up spending so much of its last four years fighting fires and fending off congressional inquiries that it gets little else done. Ev…Read more »
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The Rhodes Cook Letter
The last issue of "The Rhodes Cook Letter" explored the idea that the Republicans are the "congressional party." This issue takes a look at the opposite - that the Democrats are the modern day "presidential party." The ongoing round of special congressionDownload »
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