When Democratic Sen. Carl Levin announced in May of last year that he would retire at the end of this Congress, no one would have guessed that the race to succeed him would be among the most competitive of the cycle. Michigan voters haven’t sent a Republican to the U.S. Senate since 1994. It is also a place where we would have expected Republicans to host a primary between the establishment...
Senate: Recent Updates
For months, the race in New Hampshire has been relatively sleepy, except for the rumors that first term Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen would end up in a competitive contest. The subject of those rumors was former U.S. Sen. Scott Brown of Massachusetts. While many political observers were cheering the possibility of such a race, it didn’t seem likely for several months. Then, Brown began taking...
By a quirk of fate, we may be in for some pretty turbulent Senate elections, not only this November but in 2016 and 2018 as well. Majority status could resemble a rubber band as much as anything else. It is entirely plausible that the Senate will tip back into GOP hands in 2014, return to Democrats in 2016, and then flip again to Republicans in 2018. It’s all about how many—and which—seats on...
There has been a growing sense in recent weeks that the odds of Republicans picking up a Senate majority in November are not only growing, may well have tipped over to better than 50-50. The numbers, geography, and timing for Senate Democrats have been challenging from the beginning of this election cycle. They have greater exposure, defending 21 seats compared with only 15 for the GOP. Even...
There’s a lot that we have known about the Senate landscape since the start of the cycle. We have known that Republicans would need to score a net gain of six seats to win the majority; that Democrats would be defending 21 seats to just 15 for Republicans; and that the party holding the White House tends to lose large numbers of seats in the Senate, the House or more often both in...
|Seats Up in 2014||Toss Up||Lean D||Likely D||Solid D||Seats Up in 2016||Seats Up in 2018|
|Toss Up||Lean R||Likely R||Solid R|
A listing of candidates and race ratings in all current Senate races. Updated weekly and printable for on-the-run reference.Updated 08:00 AM, Apr 18
The Cook Political Report's latest ratings for all competitive and potentially competitive Senate seats.Updated 10:26 AM, Mar 19
General Election Polls
A selection of public opinion polling in Senate general election contests across the nation.
Primary Trial Heats
A selection of public opinion polling in Senate primary election contests across the nation.Updated 08:00 AM, Apr 18
A summary of key financial information filed by Senate candidates with the Federal Election Commission.Updated 04:04 PM, Feb 13
2014 Battleground Chart
2014 Senate Races: Romney Performance vs. Obama PerformanceNovember 12, 2012
2012 Senate General Election Polls with Final Results
A collection of polling data from the 2012 cycle, with final general election results included.
Two-Term Presidents: Post-WWII Partisan Trends
Opposing party gains under and following second term presidents.
The Cook Political Report Senate Scatterplot for Republican and Democratic held states by win percentage and PVI.
Senate: 2014 55% and Under Charts
The chart below displays Senators up for reelection in 2014 who won with less than 55% of the vote in 2008.