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National Presidential Polling

Live-Interviewer/Land-line and Cellphone Interviews -- Sorted Chronologically by Date

The chart below provides a rundown of recent presidential election trial heats nationally. The polls featured here were conducted solely via live interviewing of voters on land-lines or cellphones. This chart will be updated daily leading up to the November 6 election.

Lead Pollster (Partisan Lean) Obama % Romney % Sample Size and Type Date
Even Politico/GWU/Battleground 47% 47% 1000 LV November 4-5, 2012
Even CNN/ORC 49% 49% 693 LV November 2-4, 2012
Obama +3 ABC/Washington Post 50% 47% 2345 LV November 1-4, 2012
Obama +4 Democracy Corps (D) 49% 45% 1080 LV November 1-4, 2012
Romney +1 Gallup (7-day) Likely Voters* 48% 49% 2700 LV November 1-4, 2012
Obama +3 Gallup (7-day) Reg. Voters* 49% 46% 2200 RV November 1-4, 2012
Obama +1 NBC/WSJ 48% 47% 1475 LV November 1-3, 2012
Obama +3 Pew Research 48% 45% 2709 LV Oct 31 - Nov 3, 2012
Even Fox News 46% 46% 1128 LV October 28-30, 2012
Obama +1 CBS/New York Times 48% 47% 563 LV October 25-28, 2012
Obama +5 United Technologies/National Journal 50% 45% 713 LV October 25-28, 2012
Romney +1 NPR 47% 48% 1000 LV October 23-25, 2012
Romney +2 AP/GfK 45% 47% 839 LV October 19-23, 2012
Obama +2 CBS News 48% 46% 790 LV October 17-20, 2012
Even Gallup (21-day) Reg. Voters 47% 47% 9722 RV October 8-28, 2012
Obama +1.2 Average



*Gallup daily tracking data and sample information current as of 1pm ET, November 5, 2012

National Presidential Polling

Live-Interviewer/Land-line and Cellphone Interviews -- Sorted by Best Romney to Best Obama

The chart below provides a rundown of recent presidential election trial heats nationally. The polls featured here were conducted solely via live interviewing of voters on land-lines or cellphones.

Lead Pollster (Partisan Lean) Obama % Romney % Sample Size and Type Date
Romney +2 AP/GfK 45% 47% 839 LV October 19-23, 2012
Romney +1 Gallup (7-day) Likely Voters* 48% 49% 2700 LV November 1-4, 2012
Romney +1 NPR 47% 48% 1000 LV October 23-25, 2012
Even CNN/ORC 49% 49% 693 LV November 2-4, 2012
Even Fox News 46% 46% 1128 LV October 28-30, 2012
Even Gallup (21-day) Reg. Voters 47% 47% 9722 RV October 8-28, 2012
Even Politico/GWU/Battleground 47% 47% 1000 LV November 4-5, 2012
Obama +1 CBS/New York Times 48% 47% 563 LV October 25-28, 2012
Obama +1 NBC/WSJ 48% 47% 1475 LV November 1-3, 2012
Obama +2 CBS News 48% 46% 790 LV October 17-20, 2012
Obama +3 ABC/Washington Post 50% 47% 2345 LV November 1-4, 2012
Obama +3 Gallup (7-day) Reg. Voters* 49% 46% 2200 RV November 1-4, 2012
Obama +3 Pew Research 48% 45% 2709 LV Oct 31 - Nov 3, 2012
Obama +4 Democracy Corps (D) 49% 45% 1080 LV November 1-4, 2012
Obama +5 United Technologies/National Journal 50% 45% 713 LV October 25-28, 2012
Obama +1.2 Average



*Gallup 7-day data and sample information current as of 1pm ET, November 5, 2012

Battleground State Presidential Polling

Live-Interviewer/Land-line and Cellphone Interviews -- Sorted Alphabetically by State

The chart below provides a rundown of recent presidential election trial heats in swing states. The polls featured here were conducted solely via live interviewing of voters on land-lines or cellphones. This chart also includes the private characterizations of top pollsters and strategists on where they see each state.

Note: Characterizations currently under review

State (Electoral Vote Count) Current Cook Rating D/R Pollster Characterization* Pollster (Partisan Lean) Poll Results Date
Colorado (9) Toss Up
CNN/ORC
PNA/Grove Insight (D)
CNN/ORC
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Obama +2: 50% - 48%
Obama +3: 48% - 45%
Romney +1: 48% - 47%
Even: 48% -48%
October 26-30, 2012
October 28-29, 2012
October 25-28, 2012
October 23-24, 2012
Florida (29) Toss Up
TBT/Miami Herald/Mason-Dixon
NBC/WSJ/Marist
CNN/ORC
Mellman Group (D)
Romney +6: 51% - 45%
Obama +2: 49% - 47%
Romney +1: 50% - 49%
Obama +2: 49% -47%
Oct 30 - Nov 1, 2012
Oct 30 - Nov 1, 2012
October 25-28, 2012
October 24-27, 2012
Iowa (6) Toss Up
PNA/Grove Insight (D)
Des Moines Register
NBC/WSJ/Marist
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Obama +3: 47% - 44%
Obama +5: 47% - 42%
Obama +6: 50% -44%
Obama +8: 51% - 43%
November 1-2, 2012
Oct 30 - Nov 2, 2012
October 28-29, 2012
October 15-17, 2012
Michigan (16) Lean D
Glengariff Group/Detroit News
CNN/ORC
Obama +3: 49% - 46%
Obama +8: 52% - 44%
October 17-29, 2012
September 14-18, 2012
Nevada (6) Lean D
Mellman Group (D)
PNA/Grove Insight(D)
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Mellman Group (D)
Obama +6: 50% - 44%
Obama +6: 49% - 43%
Obama +3: 50% - 47%
Obama +8: 51% - 43%
October 29-31, 2012
October 27-28, 2012
October 23-24, 2012
October 15-17, 2012
New Hampshire (4) Toss Up
WMUR-TV/UNH
WMUR-TV/UNH
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Lake Research
Obama +5: 50% - 45%
Even: 47% - 47%
Obama +2: 49% - 47%
Obama +3: 48% - 45%
November 1-4, 2012
Oct 31 - Nov 2, 2012
October 28-29, 2012
October 18-22, 2012
North Carolina (15) Toss Up
PNA/Grove Insight (D)
Elon University
Obama +3: 47% - 44%
Even: 45% - 45%
October 23-24, 2012
October 21-26, 2012
Ohio (18) Toss Up
UCinn/OH News
PNA/Grove Insight (D)
NBC/WSJ/Marist
CNN/ORC
Obama +1: 50% - 49%
Obama +4: 49% - 45%
Obama +6: 51% - 45%
Obama +3: 50% - 47%
Oct 30 - Nov 4, 2012
November 1-2, 2012
Oct 31 - Nov 1, 2012
Oct 30 - Nov 1, 2012
Pennsylvania (20) Lean D
Philadelphia Inquirer
Philadelphia Inquirer
Quinnipiac
Obama +6: 49% - 43%
Obama +8: 50% - 42%
Obama +4: 50%-46%
October 23-25, 2012
October 4-10, 2012
October 12-14, 2012
Virginia (13) Toss Up
NBC/WSJ/Marist
PrioritiesUSA/Garin-Hart (D)
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac
Washington Post
Obama +1: 48% - 47%
Obama +3: 49% -48%
Obama +2: 49% - 47%
Obama +4: 51% - 47%
November 1-2, 2012
October 25-27, 2012
October 23-28, 2012
October 22-26, 2012
Wisconsin (10) Lean D
PNA/Grove Insight (D)
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Marquette Law School
PNA/Grove Insight (D)
Obama +6: 48% - 42%
Obama +3: 49% - 46%
Obama +8: 51% -43%
Obama +3: 48% -45%
November 1-2, 2012
October 28-29, 2012
October 25-28, 2012
October 28-29, 2012
*Characterizations are from private conversations between Charlie Cook and top Democratic and Republican pollsters and strategists.

Note: unusually wide range indicates wide divergence in assessments.

Battleground State Presidential Polling

Live-Interviewer/Land-line and Cellphone Interviews -- Sorted by Best Romney to Best Obama

The chart below provides a rundown of recent presidential election trial heats in swing states. The polls featured here were conducted solely via live interviewing of voters on land-lines or cellphones. This chart also includes the private characterizations of top pollsters and strategists on where they see each state.

Note: Characterizations currently under review

State (Electoral Vote Count) Current Cook Rating D/R Pollster Characterization* Pollster (Partisan Lean) Poll Results Date
North Carolina (15) Toss Up
PNA/Grove Insight (D)
Elon University
Obama +3: 47% - 44%
Even: 45% - 45%
October 23-24, 2012
October 21-26, 2012
Virginia (13) Toss Up
NBC/WSJ/Marist
PrioritiesUSA/Garin-Hart (D)
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac
Washington Post
Obama +1: 48% - 47%
Obama +3: 49% -48%
Obama +2: 49% - 47%
Obama +4: 51% - 47%
November 1-2, 2012
October 25-27, 2012
October 23-28, 2012
October 22-26, 2012
Florida (29) Toss Up
TBT/Miami Herald/Mason-Dixon
NBC/WSJ/Marist
CNN/ORC
Mellman Group (D)
Romney +6: 51% - 45%
Obama +2: 49% - 47%
Romney +1: 50% - 49%
Obama +2: 49% -47%
Oct 30 - Nov 1, 2012
Oct 30 - Nov 1, 2012
October 25-28, 2012
October 24-27, 2012
Colorado (9) Toss Up
CNN/ORC
PNA/Grove Insight (D)
CNN/ORC
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Obama +2: 50% - 48%
Obama +3: 48% - 45%
Romney +1: 48% - 47%
Even: 48% -48%
October 26-30, 2012
October 28-29, 2012
October 25-28, 2012
October 23-24, 2012
Ohio (18) Toss Up
UCinn/OH News
PNA/Grove Insight (D)
NBC/WSJ/Marist
CNN/ORC
Obama +1: 50% - 49%
Obama +4: 49% - 45%
Obama +6: 51% - 45%
Obama +3: 50% - 47%
Oct 30 - Nov 4, 2012
November 1-2, 2012
Oct 31 - Nov 1, 2012
Oct 30 - Nov 1, 2012
Wisconsin (10) Lean D
PNA/Grove Insight (D)
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Marquette Law School
PNA/Grove Insight (D)
Obama +6: 48% - 42%
Obama +3: 49% - 46%
Obama +8: 51% -43%
Obama +3: 48% -45%
November 1-2, 2012
October 28-29, 2012
October 25-28, 2012
October 28-29, 2012
Nevada (6) Lean D
Mellman Group (D)
PNA/Grove Insight(D)
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Mellman Group (D)
Obama +6: 50% - 44%
Obama +6: 49% - 43%
Obama +3: 50% - 47%
Obama +8: 51% - 43%
October 29-31, 2012
October 27-28, 2012
October 23-24, 2012
October 15-17, 2012
Iowa (6) Toss Up
PNA/Grove Insight (D)
Des Moines Register
NBC/WSJ/Marist
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Obama +3: 47% - 44%
Obama +5: 47% - 42%
Obama +6: 50% -44%
Obama +8: 51% - 43%
November 1-2, 2012
Oct 30 - Nov 2, 2012
October 28-29, 2012
October 15-17, 2012
New Hampshire (4) Toss Up
WMUR-TV/UNH
WMUR-TV/UNH
NBC/WSJ/Marist
Lake Research
Obama +5: 50% - 45%
Even: 47% - 47%
Obama +2: 49% - 47%
Obama +3: 48% - 45%
November 1-4, 2012
Oct 31 - Nov 2, 2012
October 28-29, 2012
October 18-22, 2012
Pennsylvania (20) Lean D
Philadelphia Inquirer
Philadelphia Inquirer
Quinnipiac
Obama +6: 49% - 43%
Obama +8: 50% - 42%
Obama +4: 50%-46%
October 23-25, 2012
October 4-10, 2012
October 12-14, 2012
Michigan (16) Lean D
Glengariff Group/Detroit News
CNN/ORC
Obama +3: 49% - 46%
Obama +8: 52% - 44%
October 17-29, 2012
September 14-18, 2012
*Characterizations are from private conversations between Charlie Cook and top Democratic and Republican pollsters and strategists.

Note: unusually wide range indicates wide divergence in assessments.