On Wednesday, the DCCC released a memo arguing that "Donald Trump's likely defeat in many swing districts will be a devastating anchor that drags down House Republicans all across the country." To back up that claim, the DCCC cited internal polls showing Hillary Clinton with enormous leads in seven swing districts held by GOP incumbents, including FL-26, IL-10, and MN-03 (the DCCC didn't note who conducted the polls). But what's most telling is what the DCCC didn't release: actual congressional ballot tests showing these GOP members being pulled under by an anti-Trump wave. Subsequently released data did show GOP Rep. Bob Dold, (IL-10) trailing his opponent by six points, but that wouldn't have been surprising in a normal presidential year. Then yesterday, GOP pollster Neil Newhouse of Public Opinion Strategies released a survey in Kansas's 3rd CD, situated in the well-educated Kansas City suburbs. The poll showed Clinton leading Trump 44 percent to 38 percent (Romney carried the district by 10 percent in 2012), but GOP Rep. Kevin Yoder leading Democratic businessman Jay Sidie 53 percent to 36 percent -
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