This story was originally published on nationaljournal.com on July 26, 2016 Take your pick among the two major national polls released Monday morning: Either Donald Trump is ahead of Hillary Clinton by as much as 3 or 4 points, or the two are running dead even. It depends on whether you focus on the CBS News poll or the CNN/ORC survey, whether you include the Libertarian and Green Party candidates, and whether you push the undecided voters who lean toward one candidate or the other. The RealClearPolitics and Pollster.com averages are of less value right now as they include polls taken before the Republican convention. Both the CNN and CBS polls were conducted Friday through Sunday. The CNN poll put Trump ahead of Clinton by 3 points among registered voters in a two-way matchup, 48 to 45 percent. When all four candidates are thrown in the mix, the margin spreads to 5 points for Trump with 44 percent (up 7 points from CNN’s July 13-16 poll). Clinton registers 39 percent (down 3 points), Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson comes in
Subscribe Today
Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race.