This story was originally published on nationaljournal.com on July 11, 2016 Democrats are feeling bullish these days, and former Sen. Evan Bayh’s decision to jump into Indiana’s Senate race adds to their upbeat mood. With a $9.3 million war chest left over from his last Senate campaign, Bayh gives his party a far better chance of picking up a seat than it would have had otherwise. Private polling indicates that Donald Trump has only a slight lead in Indiana, a state that Barack Obama carried against John McCain in 2008 before it moved back into the GOP column in 2012 with Mitt Romney. With Bayh in the hunt, The Cook Political Report changed its rating of the Indiana race from “Likely Republican” to “Toss-Up.” Of course, with Marco Rubio reversing directions—announcing first that he would not seek reelection, then recently deciding to run after all—these could be offsetting events. As Jennifer Duffy, the Cook Report’s senior editor for Senate and governors, put it, “What politics giveth, it taketh away.” The question that naturally arises: Who has a better shot, Rubio

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