HOUSE

Arizona AZ-09 House2026

RACE AT A GLANCE

RACE TYPE

Incumbent running

Paul Gosar (R)

RACE RATING

Last updated : Feb 6, 2025
Solid R

COOK PARTISAN VOTING INDEX

Last updated : Nov 17, 2025
D +50
R +50
R +15

Key Dates

Filing Deadline: Apr 6, 2026

Primary Election: Jul 21, 2026

INCUMBENT

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INCUMBENT

Paul Gosar

First Elected: 2010

Last General Election: 65.3%

Last Primary Election: 100.0%

Full Bio:
GOSAR, Paul, a Representative from Arizona; born in Rock Springs, Sweetwater County, Wyo., November 22, 1958; graduated from Pinedale High School, Pinedale, Wyo., 1977; B.S., Creighton University, Omaha, Nebr., 1981; D.D.S., Creighton University, Omaha, Nebr., 1985; dentist; elected as a Republican to the One Hundred Twelfth and to the three succeeding Congresses (January 3, 2011-present).

Source: Bioguide

CANDIDATES

DISTRICT DATA

Arizona - 09

West: Surprise, Buckeye, Lake Havasu City 

Population Breakdown

Source: 2020 Census (VAP) for 2026

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    xx.x%
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    xx.x%
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    xx.x%
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    xx.xx%
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    xx.x%

Past Presidential Results from this District

2024 Election Results

Source: Dave Leip

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    xx.x%
    xx votes
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    xx votes

2020 Election Results

Source: Dave's Redistricting/VEST

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    xx votes
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    xx votes

RACE ANALYSIS

The Bottom Line

Updated: Jun 10, 2026

A litany of incendiary remarks and ties to white nationalist groups haven’t hurt GOP Rep. Paul Gosar’s career. After reposting a cartoon video depicting him killing Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (NY-14) in 2021, the Democratic-controlled House censured him and stripped him of his committee assignments. But Republicans restored Gosar to his committees after winning the majority in 2022.

Gosar’s sprawling rural district is a deep shade of red, voting for both Trump and Gosar by more than 30 points last November. The 66-year-old congressman will have no trouble holding this seat as long as he wants.

Race Analysis

Updated: Jun 10, 2026

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