Once again, the presidential race is coming down to the independent voters, and Donald Trump has reason to smile despite months of legal peril.
Many have noted this is the first time we have had a rematch between a sitting president and the prior Oval Office occupant, but it’s worth exploring what that really means. Voters will be able to make a choice with the benefit of a side-by-side comparison, comparing Trump’s four years in the White House with what in November 2024 will be three years and 10 months for Joe Biden.
With each party able to bank on something in the vicinity of between 42 and 47 percent, and both parties having become very proficient in getting their own vote out, the election is likely to come down to the pure independents who are as few as 5 or as many as 15 percent of the electorate.
As a general rule, independents tend to distrust politicians and political parties; they tend to be fickle and prone to buyer's remorse. In presidential elections, they tend to break against the
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