It’s pretty clear that President Biden’s chances of getting reelected are better than they were in the latter half of January. An argument can now be made that Biden is an even-money bet to win the national popular vote.
- An NBC News national poll released on Sunday showed Donald Trump ahead by 2 points in a two-way matchup, 46 to 44 percent. Biden, however, led by the same 2 points in a five-way ballot test. He stood at 39 percent, ahead of Trump’s 37 percent, Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s 13 percent, Cornel West’s 3 percent, and Jill Stein’s 2 percent.
- A Marist College national poll released on Monday showed Biden up by 3 points in a one-on-one matchup with Trump, 51 percent to 48 percent. When it was expanded to a five-way matchup, Biden actually increased his lead to 5 points, 43 to 38 percent, with Kennedy at 14 percent, and West and Stein each with 2 percent.
- Aggregated with other recent polling, the RealClearPolitics average of public polls show Trump ahead by 1 percentage point, 41.6 to 40.6 percent in the five-way
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