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Cook Political House Updates

Time To Clean House

November 21, 2009
As House Democrats try to avert political disaster by limiting their 2010 losses to about 16 seats, the norm for post-World War II presidents' first midterm elections, dealing with their members' ethics problems may be one of their toughest tasks.
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Cook Political House Updates

Moore Retirement Moves KS-03 to Toss Up

November 23, 2009
House Editor David Wasserman explains why Kansas Democratic Rep. Dennis Moore’s decision to retire makes his suburban Kansas City-based seat one of the GOP’s top takeover opportunities in the country. Many in Washington are tempted to think of Moore as a conservative Democrat in a heavily Republican district, but this is far from the case – the district narrowly voted for President Obama in 2008 and is highly marginal at the national level. Still, Democrats will be hard-pressed to find a new candidate who can match Moore’s substantial appeal in Johnson County, a GOP bastion that accounts for three quarters of the district’s vote.
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Cook Political House Updates

GOP Can't Rest Easy

November 17, 2009
For better or worse, politics, like life, is rarely simple or one-dimensional. Generally, there are competing dynamics, ones that most would agree are relatively important, and others whose importance is highly debatable. Certainly, this 2010 midterm election is no exception.
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Cook Political House Updates

House: Time to Rethink Who the Vulnerable Democrats Are

November 19, 2009
House Editor David Wasserman explains why plenty of Democratic House veterans are quickly losing their aura of invincibility. In 2008, voters who didn't feel comfortable with Obama but liked their own Democratic member were able to express their skepticism towards Obama at the top of the ticket and move on. But in 2010, their only way to send a message could be through the congressional ballot.
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Cook Political Senate Updates

Oregon Senate: Baseline Analysis

November 19, 2009
Senior Editor Jennifer Duffy writes: Oregon is very difficult terrain for Republicans. Democrats hold an 11-point advantage in voter registration. The party controls both U.S. Senate seats, four of the five congressional districts, the Governor’s office and the state legislature. It’s not much of a surprise then that Republicans don’t seem enthusiastic about finding a first-tier challenger to two-term Democratic Sen. Ron Wyden.
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November 28, 2009
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