Amy discusses her takeaways from her interview with Anna in this bonus content for CPR subscribers. Amy remarks on the challenges pollsters have in getting their assumptions about turnout and the electorate's composition correct.
Amy Walter: [00:00:00] Hi there. It's Amy Walter with some bonus editorial content from my conversation with pollster Anna Greenberg. Here was one of my big takeaways from this conversation. That is the challenge pollsters have in getting their assumptions about turnout and the composition of the electorate correct. Now, some of this is about fighting the last war in 2020. Pollsters on both sides overestimated democratic performance. Now you combine that memory with the reality that in a midterm year, the party in the White House loses seats and historically underperforms, and you can understand why Democratic pollsters may have been making more conservative assumptions about the makeup of the electorate than maybe they would have in a different year. There's also an incentive structure issue. After all, it's easier to prepare your client for the worst, but ultimately have them be pleasantly
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