The surprising closeness of the KS-04 special election has Democrats excited about Jon Ossoff's prospects of winning GA-06 outright by hitting 50 percent of the vote in Tuesday's primary election. After all, the thinking goes, if Republican Ron Estes (KS-04) won by only seven points in a district President Trump carried by 27, then surely Ossoff can attain a majority in a district Trump only carried by 1.5 points. But it may not be that simple. Democratic energy is high and Ossoff has raised an astounding $8 million. But unlike KS-04 Democrat James Thompson, who flew under the radar until a few days before the election, Ossoff has become a darling of progressive donors to such an extent that it could motivate more Republicans to the polls on Election Day. Plus, Republicans have a smorgasbord of 11 candidates to choose from, each rallying their own supporters to the polls. In the homestretch, most smart strategists on both sides still believe there will be a runoff on June 20, with a Republican potentially only needing 15 percent of the vote to
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